Michigan

Michigan
OMG! It's Tournament Time

Tuesday, March 12, 2019

5 Conference Championship Games Tonight - Aardvark Tina Special

Prior to the 10+ conference championship games on Saturday, today is one of the most important days for our conference tournament pool as we have 5 conference tournament championships being played.  Unless some craziness happens, which is very possible this year, after tonight's games we will see well defined separation in the standings and it will be very clear who  our front runners are, and who needs to play catch up.  We may even have 3-5 people who are completely eliminated.  Aardvark Tina predicted this, we will be all chalk this year, so let's see her 1 and 2 seeds pay off tonight in these chalky match-ups.


Colonial Conference
  • Chalk match-up between (1) Hofstra and (2) Northeastern.
  • Hofstra is our pool favorite at 38.24% of the picks, Team Rankings gave Hofstra a 38.54% chance to win the tournament before it tipped off.
  • We do have 7 people that picked Northeastern, so overall this will be a very important win in our pool.
  • Northeastern is favored by 2 points.


Northeast Conference
  • Another chalk match-up between (1) St. Francis PA and (2) Fairleigh Dickinson.
  • Fairleigh Dickinson is our pool favorite at 26.47% of the picks, however Team Ranking gave St. Francis PA a 34.17% chance to win prior to the tip off of this conference tournament.
  • Over half of the people were eliminated in this conference, so just as the Colonial, this is going to be a very important win in our pool.
  • St. Francis PA is favored by 4 points.


Horizon League
  • Our 3rd chalk match-up of the night will feature (1) Wright State vs. (2) Northern Kentucky.
  • Wright State is our pool favorite at 35.29% of the picks, however Northern Kentucky was Team Rankings prediction before tip off with a 41.23% chance to win.
  • Northern Kentucky is lucky to be playing in this game as they had to win last night on a 3 pointer buzzer beater.
  • As with the CAA and NEC championships, this is another big impact to our pool
  • Vegas has this game as a pick



West Coast Conference
  • Any doubt that (1) Gonzaga wins this?  I am not even going to go through any of our pool stats or find a nice picture.  Everyone gets a free win, except Chris, he picked (2) Saint Mary's

Summit League
  •  Our final championship game brings us our only non chalk match-up of the night with (2) Nebraska-Omaha vs. (4) North Dakota State.
  • The clear pool and Team Rankings favorite (1) South Dakota State was knocked out in the Quarterfinals, this opens up the door to bonus points for 3 people if North Dakota State wins.  I assume those 3 guys picked North Dakota State on accident because they couldn't remember which Dakota Mike Daum played for.
  • If North Dakota State wins, Wattles will need to split hi "Lowest Winning Seed" pot with 3 other guys.
  • Vegas has Nebraska-Omaha winning by 3 points.



Overall, if things fall the right way, the standings are really going to move and we'll see some major separation.  John Nazzaro, already in 1st place, has the chance to get to 6 points by the end of the night tonight.   But Andrew Husted, Brad Snead, Jenn, and Searcy, in  2nd, 3rd, 4th and 5th places currently, have the ability to get to 7 points by the end of the night tonight.  They cannot all get 7 points, as they all have different combinations of teams.  Pengin Pro, currently in last place, has the opportunity to rack up 4 points tonight and jump right into the middle of the pack.  That is how quickly things can change for someone tonight. 


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